Tuesday, June 16, 2020

WILL THE 2020 CORONAVIRUS FOLLOW THE SAME PROFILE AS THE 1918-19 FLU?

              Chart Of Mortality Rate for the 
              1918-19 Flu Pandemic

                     (note month-to-month progression at bottom)




Compare the above chart to the ones below
for the 2020 Coronavirus


                        From Jan 22 to March 4
                                 confirmed cases, and deaths




                 Another chart covering Covid death rate 
                        from mid-January to late March

                Confirmed CASES (not deaths), worldwide
                         (note months)

                
                   Global deaths, as of June 16, 2020


         Now look at the 1918-19 chart again




The biggest spikes for the 1918-19 Flu virus (more visible on the last chart below), were: 1. late June/early July; 2. late October/early Nov; and 3late Feb/early March of 1919.




The 1st spike was the smallest, the last spike in 1919 was the 2nd biggest, and the really big nasty spike was the 2nd one in late October, bigger than the others by far.

Do we still have an equivalent "big" spike ahead of us?

Or -- Have we seen the worst, and the virus is past its peak?

No one yet knows for sure.

But look at the charts and decide for yourself.

Are different countries and US states opening up too soon?
Does that matter?

For better or worse, we will all find out in time.

We are all currently living in a world-wide biological experiment, with data being gathered around-the-clock.

We can only do the best we can all do as individuals, try to help each other as good citizens, and try to push our governments to do the right things ---- The things that serve the greater good and the common welfare.


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